Gold

Funding the Grassroots Resistance to Military Rule

Gold mining has long been a lucrative source of income in Myanmar for both the government and non-state armed groups. But since the 2021 coup, worsening conflict, economic collapse and soaring global prices have triggered a new gold rush in parts of central and northern Myanmar. Official figures put Myanmar’s gold production at just 500kg, but informal production is likely to be at least ten times higher – valuing the industry at close to $1 billion a year. The sector also provides jobs for hundreds of thousands of people.

Much of the mining takes place in creeks and rivers, or along their banks and in nearby fields. Homalin, in northern Sagaing Region, was already a hotspot before the coup, with the Shanni Nationalities Army, a pro-regime militia, informally taxing the miners.

The alluvial mining operations here employ tens of thousands of people, mostly migrants from elsewhere in Myanmar. But the mining has also reshaped the landscape – destroying farmland, carving up riverbanks and in some places even changing the course of waterways.

Since the military takeover, miners have pushed south from Homalin along the Chindwin River into areas where the regime has lost control. In some resistance-dominated areas, local administrators and armed groups aligned with the National Unity Government – the parallel administration created by lawmakers ousted by the 2021 coup – have allowed gold dredging boats to operate, from which they collect annual licence fees and monthly taxes.

The miners use boats to suck soil from naturally forming sandbanks and run it through sluices. They then separate the gold using dangerous chemicals, often including mercury, and dump the waste back into the river.

The dredging operations have triggered protests by nearby communities concerned about the impact on their livelihoods. The sandbanks that emerge in the Chindwin River during the dry season are prized for their fertile soil, but once miners churn them up, they can no longer be cultivated.

Resistance groups in the area say taxing gold extraction is one of the few ways they can buy weapons and ammunition. But residents accuse some local leaders of profiting personally from the industry, including by running dredging boats themselves. Residents also fear the mining will draw military attacks from a regime determined to cut off its opponents’ revenues.

Local regime officials have also benefited, collecting bribes and informal taxes from miners in exchange for not attacking their operations. But after battlefield losses and a shake-up in Sagaing Region’s military command in November 2025, pro-regime social media accounts began calling for airstrikes on mining sites in resistance areas to prevent these armed groups from getting funds.

Map of Myanmar showing airstrike locations and dates from November 2025 through March 2026
Reported airstrikes on gold mining sites since November 2025. Source: CRISIS GROUP

Over the past nine months, local media has reported dozens of strikes against gold mining sites spanning at least eight townships. “Some unlucky rafts will be hit, equipment will be lost and workers will die. But it doesn’t take long for the rafts to restart operations – they take the hits and go back to work”, said one resistance source. “And for the military commanders, it’s all just for show”.

Satellite imagery shows that the boom extends well beyond the Chindwin basin, into other resistance-dominated parts of Sagaing Region.

Crisis Group analysis found that alluvial mining covered around 7,350 hectares along the Meza River and its tributaries before the 2021 coup.

Mining has since expanded to 19,210 hectares – an increase of more than 160 per cent over the pre-coup footprint.

Further west, the area around Thaphanseik, Myanmar’s largest irrigation dam, is another epicentre of alluvial mining. Before the coup, mining already covered 12,890 hectares.

Alluvial mining now covers almost 29,000 hectares around Thaphanseik, with much of the expansion concentrated in resistance-held areas north of the dam along the Mu River.

Much of this mining has spread from riverbanks into forests and paddy fields – even right up to the edge of houses. Farmers say armed groups pressure them to sell land to miners, leaving communities with polluted water and damaged fields.

Satellite view of alluvial mining along the Meza River in 2018 2018
Satellite view of expanded alluvial mining along the Meza River in 2023 2023
Satellite view of extensive alluvial mining along the Meza River in 2025 2025
Satellite imagery of a gold mining site near the Meza River in northern Sagaing Region shows alluvial mining encroaching on adjacent farmland and forest. Source: Planet Labs PBC / CRISIS GROUP

Control of areas rich in underground gold seams has also become a military objective for both the regime and its opponents. In Banmauk Township, resistance forces seized the town and nearby mining areas in September 2025 before the military and Shanni Nationalities Army counterattacked. The resistance later abandoned the town, but still oversees many mines in the surrounding area.

Some unlucky rafts will be hit, equipment will be lost and workers will die. But it doesn’t take long for the rafts to restart operations – they take the hits and go back to work.

Gold from mining operations is sent by boat, plane or road to refineries in Mandalay, Myanmar’s second-largest city. Domestic demand is high because of the instability of the kyat, the national currency, capital controls and demand for safe-haven assets. But because gold fetches a higher price in neighbouring India and Bangladesh, traders also smuggle it across Myanmar’s porous borders.

The Price Gap That Makes Smuggling Lucrative

Gold price by country relative to world parity (%)

Line chart comparing gold price premiums in Bangladesh, India and Myanmar
Gold is consistently worth more in neighbouring India and Bangladesh than in Myanmar. The distance between the lines represents the potential margin from moving gold out of Myanmar, before transport costs, risk and informal payments. It does not show how much gold is actually being smuggled (see full methodology below) / CRISIS GROUP

Gold mining provides jobs in a devastated economy and revenues for armed groups fighting the regime. But it also destroys farmland, pollutes waterways, enriches local powerbrokers and makes nearby communities targets in the war. “I’m not opposed to all mining, particularly if the revenues really support the revolution”, said a Banmauk resident. “But the authorities need to manage the impact on the environment and communities. Now there are no rules – they mine anywhere”.

Gold

Sources and Methodology

Estimates of the gross value of Myanmar’s gold output combine Crisis Group analysis of Myanmar’s official refined gold production figures (via the Central Statistical Organisation), interviews with industry sources and research by non-government organisations, including Pact’s “The State of Artisanal Mining in Myanmar”. Dredging boat locations were derived from interviews, media reports and Crisis Group analysis of satellite imagery. Airstrike locations were mapped using local media reports. Mining scars along the Meza River and around Thaphanseik were detected by applying deep convolutional neural networks to open-source Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery, following the methodology described in Jane Gallwey et al., “A Sentinel-2-based Multispectral Convolutional Neural Network for Detecting Artisanal Small-scale Mining in Ghana: Applying Deep Learning to Shallow Mining”, Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 248 (2020). Gold price series for Myanmar, Bangladesh and India compiled from local reporting on gold market and exchange rate in Myanmar; data from the India Bullion and Jewellers Association Ltd (IBJA); and official Bangladesh Jewellers Association (BAJUS) rates archived by gold.bd. All local gold prices were converted to US dollars per fine troy ounce using contemporaneous exchange rates and compared with the global spot price. Myanmar prices used reported 24K/16-pae market rates and the parallel USD/kyat exchange rate; India used IBJA Fine Gold 999 prices, quoted per 10g and excluding GST; Bangladesh used BAJUS 22K prices, quoted per bhori (11.664g), converted to a fine-gold equivalent and excluding VAT.

The analysis was informed by Crisis Group interviews with gold mine owners and workers, members of People’s Defence Force and other resistance groups, residents and community leaders, and civil society and environmental activists, conducted in 2025-2026. For background on gold mining in Myanmar, see the Myanmar Centre for Responsible Business’s March 2018 Sector Wide Impact Assessment; on pollution and potential health effects from small-scale gold mining, see Pyae Sone Soe et al., “Mercury Pollution from Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining in Myanmar and Other Southeast Asian Countries”, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, vol. 19, no. 10 (2022), and Aung Zaw Tun et al., “Heavy Metals in the Soils of Placer Small-Scale Gold Mining Sites in Myanmar”, Journal of Health and Pollution, vol. 10, no. 27 (2020); on deteriorating water quality, see “Gold mining poses growing threat to Ayeyarwady River’s water quality: report”, Myanmar Now, 26 February 2025; for evidence of post-coup mining expansion, see Stimson Center’s dashboard and analysis, “In the wake of coup, gold mining boom is ravaging Myanmar”, Yale Environment 360, 3 May 2022, and “Findings of Illegal Mining”, Citizen Action for Transparency, November 2022; for community concerns about mining along the Chindwin River, see “In the shadow of conflict, a gold rush erupts on the Chindwin River”, Frontier Myanmar, 16 February 2026; on the Banmauk offensive and its connection to the conflict economy, see Institute for Strategy and Policy Myanmar, “Seizing Banmauk: An Unveiled Face of the Conflict Economy”, 2 October 2025; and on gold price differentials and smuggling incentives, see “Why gold costs more in Bangladesh than in India, Dubai”, The Daily Star, 23 April 2025, and “India's gold tariff hike fuels smuggling revival, squeezes banks and refiners”, Reuters, 9 June 2026.