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Turkey's Gamble in Libya

 

In this interview, Crisis Group's Libya Expert Claudia Gazzini try to provide some insight into Turkey's relation with Libya and the Mediterranean neighbourhood.

Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters

Turkish intervention in Libya’s war stopped the besieged Tripoli government from collapsing. But fighting with Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar’s forces has since escalated, threatening a protracted conflict. Both Ankara and Haftar’s regional backers should urge their allies toward a return to negotiations and a ceasefire.

Also available in Arabic, Turkish

War & Peace: Turkey in the Time of COVID-19

This week on War & Peace, Olga Oliker and Hugh Pope talk to Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council of Foreign Relations, about Ankara's foreign policy and Turkey's faltering economy in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic.

War & Peace: Getting EU-Turkey Relations Back on Track

This week on War & Peace, Olga Oliker and Hugh Pope talk to Berkay Mandıracı, Crisis Group's Turkey Expert, about Ankara's decision to open the Greece-Turkey border, prompting thousands of migrants to head for the frontier in the hope of crossing into Europe, and the implications for the 2016 migration deal. 

Sharing the Burden: Revisiting the EU-Turkey Migration Deal

Thousands of migrants who tried to enter Europe from Turkey after the latter opened its borders in late February are stranded at the frontier. Ankara triggered this particular problem, but European states should nonetheless shoulder a larger burden in helping alleviate the broader displacement crisis.

Q&A / Europe & Central Asia

Deadly Clashes in Syria’s Idlib Show Limits of Turkey’s Options

A deadly attack on Turkish forces in Syria has brought Idlib’s crisis to a dangerous crossroads. In this Q&A, Crisis Group’s Turkey, Syria and Russia experts explain what happened and what’s at stake.

Assessing the Fatalities in Turkey’s PKK Conflict

Turkey’s ruling party sees recent battlefield and electoral gains as vindicating its hardline policies toward the PKK. But these same policies fuel the Kurdish grievances that keep the fighting going. Ankara would thus be wise to consider exploring ways of winding down the destructive conflict.

Podcast / Africa

Red Sea Rising

The Horn of Africa faces myriad crises. Beyond the potentially devastating impact of COVID-19 on politics and the economy, the region is grappling with deeply troubled transitions, cross-border jihadism and remains a playground for great power competition. In this first episode of Crisis Group's new podcast series The Horn, Alan Boswell is joined by Elizabeth Dickinson, Crisis Group's Senior Analyst for the Arabian Peninsula to discuss the risks of Red Sea rivalries and also the opportunities.

Intra-Gulf Competition in Africa’s Horn: Lessening the Impact

Gulf states are competing for influence in the Horn of Africa to control the Red Sea, transposing internal rivalries onto a fragile region. Horn governments should increase their bargaining power with their powerful neighbours, who should recognise the risks their policies pose to regional security.

Also available in Arabic

Are There Alternatives to a Military Victory in Idlib?

Last weekend, the presidents of Turkey, Iran and Russia met in Ankara to discuss, among other things, the latest developments in Syria amid Turkish concerns over the consequences of a Syrian government offensive in the last rebel enclave, Idlib. 

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