While the U.S. remains the world's strongest military and economic power, its place and role on the international stage is shifting. There are potentially dramatic implications for international peace and security from a U.S. foreign policy that is increasingly inward-looking, less predictable, less multilateral, and more reliant on the threat or use of military force to achieve its objectives. In 2017, Crisis Group established its first program dedicated to analysing U.S. policy, understanding who makes and shapes it, and offering recommendations to help guide its trajectory.
دفعت عملية قتل قائد حماس إسماعيل هنية في طهران الشرق الأوسط إلى أكثر لحظاته خطراً منذ سنوات. يجب على جميع المعنيين فعل أقصى ما يستطيعون فعله لتجنب نشوب حرب إقليمية. وتتمثل الخطوة الأكثر أهمية، إضافة إلى ضبط النفس المتبادل، في وقف إطلاق النار في غزة.
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.
Bangladesh Guinea Israel/Palestine Papua New Guinea Venezuela Zimbabwe
South China Sea
Iran Israel/Palestine Lebanon Venezuela
Benin Democratic Republic of Congo Niger Rwanda
Especially but certainly not exclusively over Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, tensions between the [Iran and the U.S.] remain significant.
The [U.S.] administration is very clear about its ‘ironclad’ support for Israel.
It really shouldn’t be the case that the U.S. considers its influence severely weakened because it can’t provide military equipment or training to a certain country.
[US President Joe] Biden is in an election cycle, and the types of sanctions relief Iran is seeking won’t pass muster with the Congress.
[The Pentagon’s narrow interpretation of the Leahy Law is] a dishonest reading of the plain text and intention of Congress.
Genuine pressure on Israel and Hamas to enact a Gaza cease-fire could dial down tensions across the region.
Originally published in Foreign Policy.
In this video Brian Finucane talks about how the Biden administration has worked around legal guardrails to engage in fighting without approval from the U.S. Congress.
في خضم الحرب الدائرة في قطاع غزة، لجأت إدارة بايدن إلى استعمال القوة العسكرية دون أخذ موافقة الكونغرس، الأمر الذي يفاقم من تآكل الضوابط الدستورية في هذا المجال. تتمثل الأولوية الأولى الآن بالتوصل إلى وقف لإطلاق النار، لكن إصلاح الصلاحيات المتعلقة بالحرب مهمة حيوية للمستقبل.
After a would-be assassin shot at former U.S. President and current Republican candidate Donald Trump on 13 July, the country’s political leaders, especially Trump himself, should avoid stoking division in order to reduce risks of violence as the November election approaches.
In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve talk with Crisis Group trustee and former Indian National Security Adviser and Foreign Secretary Shivshankar Menon about India’s views on the U.S. election and how New Dehli navigates a rapidly changing world order.
من شأن تهديد إسرائيل بوقف إعفاء مصرفي أن يشل النشاط المالي في الضفة الغربية، الأمر الذي سيتسبب في انهيار اقتصادي ويخاطر بانهيار السلطة الفلسطينية – مع تداعيات خطيرة على فلسطينيي الضفة الغربية – وربما على إسرائيل أيضاً. ينبغي على الولايات المتحدة أن تضغط على إسرائيل لتغيير مسارها.
يُعدُّ اتفاق وقف إطلاق النار الذي اقترحته الولايات المتحدة أفضل – وربما آخر – أمل، سواءٌ لإنهاء حرب غزة أو لإعادة الرهائن المحتجزين في القطاع في وقت قريب. ينبغي على قادة إسرائيل وحماس قبول الاتفاق.
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